Black and Arab American voters could swing Michigan’s 2024 election Michigan gave Biden his highest margin of the three northern battleground states in 2020, but the race was still close, and it looks even tighter this year, with Harris only marginally ahead in 538’s final forecast of the state. Black and Arab Americans will play a key role in either candidate’s victory. Polls have shown Black voters, who make up 13% of Michigan’s electorate, swinging toward Republicans this year, though how big that shift will be remains to be determined. Michigan also has the largest share of Arab Americans in the country — a community that has been rocked by the wars in Israel, Gaza and Lebanon. Polling among the demographic — which makes up around 4% of the state’s
